Who Is Jiang Xueqin?

The Man Behind the Channel

Jiang Xueqin (born 1976) is a Chinese-Canadian historian, educator, and the creator of Predictive History — the YouTube channel that applies structural historical analysis, game theory, and what he calls "psychohistory" (inspired by Isaac Asimov) to predict geopolitical events before they happen.

A Yale graduate in History, Jiang spent years in education journalism and consulting before turning to YouTube in 2022. What started as recorded lectures for his students exploded into a global phenomenon when his predictions started coming true.

He currently teaches at Moonshot Academy, a private school in Beijing, while producing lectures that reach millions worldwide.

Predictions That Came True

These are the predictions that put Professor Jiang on the map. Each was stated on video months or years before the event occurred.

See all 111 predictions tracked with sources →

His Method

Professor Jiang doesn't claim to be a psychic. His approach is structural: he studies how empires rise, overextend, and collapse — then maps those patterns onto current geopolitics.

His analytical framework combines:

Game Theory — modeling how rational actors (nations, leaders, institutions) respond to incentives, threats, and constraints. When you understand the game, you can predict the moves.

Civilizational Analysis — studying the lifecycle of empires (Rome, Britain, Mongols, Ottoman) to identify structural parallels with modern powers. The same patterns repeat because the same pressures apply.

Psychohistory — inspired by Asimov's Foundation, the idea that large-scale historical events are predictable through structural analysis, even if individual actions aren't. You can't predict what one person will do, but you can predict what a civilization under pressure will do.

Timeline

In the Press

Professor Jiang's work has been covered by major outlets worldwide:

Where to Find Him